Author Topic: Lead, Please, Prime Minister  (Read 7804 times)

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Offline The Ruxted Group

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Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« on: June 28, 2007, 09:11:39 »
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Lead, Please, Prime Minister

Prime Minister Harper is quoted as saying that he wants consensus from Canadians before he will ask Parliament to extend the current Afghan mission beyond Feb 2009.

The Ruxted Group applauds the PM for both insisting that Parliament – the House of Commons – agree to major military operations, and asking Canadians themselves to consider the merits of this mission and guide their elected representatives. 

Regardless of the common sense and fundamental democratic ideals satisfied by this initiative what is lacking is true leadership.  In saying “I would hope the view of Canadians is not simply to abandon Afghanistan” without actively persuading the people of Canada that his preferred course of action is right, good and proper the Prime Minister has effectively abdicated his responsibility to lead and along with it, his ability to convince Canadians that their troops are in Afghanistan are fighting the good fight for the right reasons.
 
The Prime Minister needs to bring the choices before us into stark relief.  The issue is not just the mission in Afghanistan, though that is the public face of this crisis.  It is also an articulation of a national vision and Canada's place in a rapidly polarizing world.  This government has talked at length about how this country used to punch above its weight, and has complained just as loudly about how previous Liberal governments have squandered Canada's reputation on the world stage, yet here is the Prime Minister calling vaguely for a consensus without articulating his ideas for a rational, moral and achievable alternative to the ideological and political divides that face the nation today.

The Prime Minister needs to ‘sell’ Canada’s emerging lead role and the current mission to Canadians, especially to Québecers.  This is a theme which The Ruxted Group has visited over and over and over again.  In 2006, when he persuaded a reluctant parliament to approve an extension of the mission until early 2009, Prime Minister Harper appeared interested only in embarrassing the Liberal opposition.   He offered Canadians little in the way of solid reasons ‘why’ – rather he threatened a weak and divided opposition with a snap election.  That tactic, although it served the purpose of whipping the opposition into line, was never good enough for Canadians and only distracted from the very real, important and noble reasons that their troops are killing and being killed in Afghanistan; the healing, reconstruction, and development desired by all cannot proceed without the sacrifices inherent in providing security.

We are extremely disappointed (but not all that surprised) at the fact that Prime Minister Harper is doing exactly what he accuses his opponents of doing: playing political games, and seeking to wring the maximum partisan political advantage out of the situation in Afghanistan.  It is time for Prime Minister Harper to lead the country.  As we said at the start, the issue is not just the mission in Afghanistan it is about Canada’s role in the world – the leadership role Prime Minister Harper says is his government’s objective.  Canada needs a coherent foreign policy and Canadians need direct, honest political leadership during these hard times, we do not need more of the same on both these fronts, which is exactly what Mr Harper offered up this week.

By articulating a clear vision of Canada's goals in Afghanistan and how we intend to operate in the future, free of political posturing and spin, Prime Minister Harper may develop the consensus among Canadians he desires, and provide us with a vision for Canada in the 21st century world.  There is an old military maxim: Lead, follow or get out of the way! 

Lead, please, Prime Minister.

Offline Cdn Blackshirt

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2007, 09:50:42 »
I think Harper is a bright guy between his ears.

That being said, I think he has amongst the most incompetent communications strategies I have seen anywhere, demonstrated by an entity, at any time.


Matthew.   
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #2 on: June 28, 2007, 10:54:24 »
I think Harper is a bright guy between his ears.

That being said, I think he has amongst the most incompetent communications strategies I have seen anywhere, demonstrated by an entity, at any time.


Matthew.   

But, on this and other issues, is he leading the country?  Or is he following the polls?

If he's not leading then does it matter if he's smart?


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Offline KevinB

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2007, 11:06:56 »
I must say I fully agree with Ruxted -- one of the big complains with Mr Dithers, was that he would never make a decision with out firmly sounding out public opinion -- that not leadership.  I expected a lot more from the Conservative gov't -- despite being a Minority -- they NEED to lead -- the PM should be willing to fall on his sword over this issue, since we have been expending a great deal of BLOOD and money to get the Afghan gov't to where it is now.  Failing this, it will show (well me for one, a paid up card carrying member of the CPC, and no doubt others) that the value we expected from them, when we cats our votes for them, where all in naught.

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #4 on: June 28, 2007, 13:14:26 »
There comes to be a difference between leading a country properly and following the polls. I think so far Harper is doing a great job compared to our Previous leader. A leader to me is someone who will make choices for the country without asking the canadian people. We elected Harper to be our leader, we elected him to make decisions for us. THats the reason hes the leader of the Tories. Now , I Can respect him a lot for wanting to speak with parliament and see the polls on certain issues. This shows he is willing to hear the Canadian People and their issues.  :cdn:
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #5 on: June 28, 2007, 13:31:38 »
It is sad to read the news these days, waht with all the political crap about pulling out of Afgahnistan in 2009.  Popular opinion is against the war, so what.  The way that this new policy on Afghanistan is playing out is going to kill the Canadian Army.  Who wants to be part of an organisation that is'nt allowed to carry out it's primary purpose.  The people of Canada do not want us to go to war, nor do the opposition parties.  I guess that means we no longer have to go on exercise, as we have nothing to train for.  Not allowed to fight a war, why train for warfighting?  This country and Government should be ashamed of themselves.  A complete and utter emabarresment!!!
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2007, 13:55:37 »
 Lets face it the PM is damned if he does and damned if he does not. The media has crucified him for everything. Lets face fact he has paid the price for the policies of the Liberals. Why was it that this was never an issue when those bunch of crooks were in power or the so called detainee issue.
  Since day one the media of this country has been trying to get the conseratives un-elected. 

 
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2007, 14:00:42 »
Lets face it the PM is damned if he does and damned if he does not. The media has crucified him for everything. Lets face fact he has paid the price for the policies of the Liberals. Why was it that this was never an issue when those bunch of crooks were in power or the so called detainee issue.
  Since day one the media of this country has been trying to get the conseratives un-elected. 


 

Why, then didn't he enunciate new, clear policies?

Remember, now, I'm a Conservative, but where are the non-Liberal policies?  Where is the difference on foreign and defence policy between Harper and Martin?  Martin was buying new kit - maybe not exactly the same new kit as the Tories are buying but much needed new kit, all the same.  Martin started a foreign policy review.  If Harper is being crucified for Liberal policies it's because he kept applying them.
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Offline ArmyVern

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #8 on: June 28, 2007, 14:14:10 »
Oh so true.

But the public wants us to become, once again, those traditional "Peacekeepers" wearing the baby blue berets with no risk of offending anyone's sensibilities; least of all those who'd sit back here in their warm, cozy little lives keeping their hands clean and in total denial of the fact that "Peacekeeping" is NOT riskless and politics-free.

How soon the Canadian public forgets that those idyllic Peacekeeping missions have cost the lives of 116 Canadian soldiers and 3 civilian employees. Those fallen were honoured with the very same repatriation ceremonies as our fallen from Afghanistan. Perhaps the public just missed it because the MSM didn't claw over each other to get in and film those solemn ceremonies for broadcast to the masses, but I guess that may have tarnished that good Peaceful Baby Blue Canadian International Halo image they all like to claim as their own.

Wake up Canada!!


Learn your history, and most of all ... be damn proud of it. You have some pretty fine soldiers acting as your ambassadors to the world both in Peacetime and in time of War, as has always been the case.

« Last Edit: June 28, 2007, 14:19:02 by ArmyVern »
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Offline Boxkicker

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2007, 14:59:37 »
Why, then didn't he enunciate new, clear policies?

Remember, now, I'm a Conservative, but where are the non-Liberal policies?  Where is the difference on foreign and defence policy between Harper and Martin?  Martin was buying new kit - maybe not exactly the same new kit as the Tories are buying but much needed new kit, all the same.  Martin started a foreign policy review.  If Harper is being crucified for Liberal policies it's because he kept applying them.

 Pretty simple on some things to me, when it comes to new policies if it ain't broke don't fix it. Why meddle with something if it works.   

  When it comes to some of the new kit that martin was going to buy it would have first been studied to death in committee. Instead we have a PM that says we need it now. I do not believe that we would have ever seen any of that new kit the Liberals said they would look at.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2007, 15:30:46 »
Pretty simple on some things to me, when it comes to new policies if it ain't broke don't fix it. Why meddle with something if it works.   

  When it comes to some of the new kit that martin was going to buy it would have first been studied to death in committee. Instead we have a PM that says we need it now. I do not believe that we would have ever seen any of that new kit the Liberals said they would look at.

There were problems with the policies ... that's why Harper is in power with his fellow Conservatives now.

Yep, he fast-tracked operational kit that we needed desperately ... we are fighting and dying after all; it's the least they could do. Now, as Ruxted has said below ... when are they going to start TALKING about and defending this mission to the Canadian public?? The sound of their silence is catching up with them...just look at the polls.

Good, bad, pretty, or ugly, the public likes to be informed of what exactly is going on when Canadian Soldiers are dying ... when they hear nothing from the elected Leader of Canada on that face ... they believe what they are told, usually quite willingly, by the MSM and the opposition because no-one is stepping up to tell them the difference.

That stepping-up is usually called leadership.
« Last Edit: June 28, 2007, 15:33:17 by ArmyVern »
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2007, 15:45:06 »
If Harper really believes in the mission, he'd risk his political career and make this the #1 issue on the political agenda and risk an election over it.

I think Harper is gradually trying to change the mind of the Canadians, but the blowback from certain stupid things the Conservatives have said, and Harper's fumbling of how to actually talk to the Canadians about this subject while the Libs and the NDP have fired rhetoric that appeases the avg joe Canadian and now, I think unless radical change of tactics for Conservatives happen, we are going to lose public support for the mission.

Personally, I'm in favour putting the Afghan mission to a public referendum. If Canadians do not have the balls to face up to all those principles that Canada supposedly stand for, I'd rather have it done publically so that every joe Canadian must realize what is happening.

And announce to the world too.
« Last Edit: June 28, 2007, 15:49:57 by HighlandFusilier »

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #12 on: June 28, 2007, 16:14:07 »
There were problems with the policies ... that's why Harper is in power with his fellow Conservatives now.


  I am not saying that were not problems with policies. But how many policies needed to be sorted out and how many did not. In the department we work for it has been one problem after another.
  First it was that the head shed had to get us new kit, aircraft, armor some big expensive new pieces of desperately needed equipment. The problems that we have faced have been all created by the Liberals. But the PM and current MND have paid the price for it. It is the face of hypocrisy at the utmost that all the current problems being faced bye this government was caused by the Liberals, when it comes to the military.   
  It bothers me that for the media it was all well and good when it was the Liberals putting the shaft to us,it never created any sort of political fire storm. Even after the MND would say well this was done under the previous government, but we will fix it. the media still made the Liberals and NDP,come off smelling like a rose.
 i do agree that there has been bad communication though coming from the government, when it comes to the mission. I would love for the media to actually pick up on some of the fuzzy friendly things being done as well as the government. That might change a few minds.   
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2007, 08:49:16 »
With all respect, I can't agree with the editorial. Harper is a leader - - period. He is also smart enough to know that to continue to be a leader in this country he can't ignore the reality of the significant numbers of left-leaning idiot voters who don't understand the military, its purpose, and history. For good or ill that will require a vote on the mission. We do live in a democracy.

Tell me what other PM in recent times has accomplished as much as Harper, in as short a time and with a minority government. He's a balls forward leader and has pushed the other parties in the House of Commons to the wall. Be careful when challenging his character as a leader. 

CHIMO
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #14 on: June 29, 2007, 09:13:32 »
While I like Harper - it does not mean I have to go thru life with blinders on.  Sit back and think that since Afghan support was intially of 75%, heck even pre Iraq war we had a 55% approval for going there.  The issue is the PM's officer has not properly lead the public into the hows and why's of the war.
  And dont go blaming left leaning people -- you think ANY one of them really would want Afghan to go back under the Taliban?  The left is one of the foremost supporters of womens, gays and every other minority groups rights -- the fact is most are too stupid to have an opinion and beleive rhetoric from the OPFOR Leaders in Parliament -- Canada needs to get on the ball, and sell the war.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2007, 09:40:06 »
With all respect, I can't agree with the editorial. Harper is a leader - - period. He is also smart enough to know that to continue to be a leader in this country he can't ignore the reality of the significant numbers of left-leaning idiot voters who don't understand the military, its purpose, and history. For good or ill that will require a vote on the mission. We do live in a democracy.

Tell me what other PM in recent times has accomplished as much as Harper, in as short a time and with a minority government. He's a balls forward leader and has pushed the other parties in the House of Commons to the wall. Be careful when challenging his character as a leader. 

CHIMO
:cdn:

He may well be a leader, but - in my not at all humble opinion - if he is he's not acting like one.  He's acting like a cheap ward heeler, sort of like a Jean Chrétien but able speak English and French.

I understand, and, as a card carrying Conservative I accept, that the political imperative is to win a majority government, preferably two in a row.  That does not alter the fact that he is NOT leading the country in the right direction – hell’s bells, he’s not leading it in any direction – on foreign policy in general and Afghanistan in particular.  Right now he is hemming and hawing to soothe nervous, timorous, changeable Québec voters and, in the process, he is aiding and abetting what Infidel 6 correctly calls the OPFOR in Parliament.

Most of us are or were military people; many of us hold or have held leadership positions.  Those who do/have understand that leading, especially when the mission is difficult and unpopular, is not easy.  We, some of us anyway, have some sympathy with PM Harper’s position – I do.  But my sympathy does not alter the fact that he’s NOT leading, he’s following.

QED 
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #16 on: June 29, 2007, 09:52:50 »
Nobody is denigrating Harper, simply pointing out that he's not doing what we expect him to do....lead.

As long as there was an identified agenda he was on top of the pile....excellent feedback...now, he's doing nothing definitive, as least as far as the Canadian public is concerned, so they (the public) are listening to the opposition, cause that's who's talking.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #17 on: July 01, 2007, 20:26:27 »
E.R. Campbell: You are comparing Harper to Chrétien? Are you for real?

*Edited for tone
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« Last Edit: July 01, 2007, 21:46:27 by muskrat89 »

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #18 on: July 01, 2007, 22:20:13 »
Well, I guess this all goes to show: the Canadian public isn't ready for what's coming for them. If we think that we can live safely and securely forever, then we'll be all the sorrier when everything goes to sh@t. I mean, at what point IS our military's primary role to wage war? When the enemy is on the footstep? through the door? in our bedroom? I can't even begin to understand the self destructive stupidity of the common layman. Meanwhile, the government continues to drag this once great nation down the death spiral with one idiotic program after another. I mean, there was a time in north america (and i'll admit that this is mostly down south), and to a large degree there still is (http://www.tysknews.com/Depts/2nd_Amend/crime_rate_plummets.htm), when the very THOUGHT of the government disarming the populace was sacrilege. Honestly, what reason other than fear of being overthrown is there for the government to take peoples guns away? And to top it all off, the people actually ASKED for it. This is where a certain Star Wars quote (I know, I know...) begins very illustrative: "So this is how liberty dies. With thunderous applause." ~Padme

I know I'm young, and  inexperienced. And I know that replies to this post will be the same sort of "Well, we live in a liberal democracy blah blah" but please, Canada, for the good of OUR grandchildren, we gotta smarten up. I want a FREE Canada, not an Islamic state, not a Communist regime, not a socialists paradise. Of course all this is useless rhetoric, at most a trifle of food for thought...

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #19 on: July 08, 2007, 09:44:44 »
Here, reproduced from today's Ottawa Citizen under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act, is an article dealing with the topic at hand:

http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/story.html?id=416b2b44-ed72-4bf6-88e1-2dd1f6953229

Quote
Tories soften stance on Afghan mission extension

Jason Fekete, CanWest News Service
Published: Saturday, July 07, 2007

CALGARY - As the bodies of six Canadian soldiers killed this past week in Afghanistan return home, Conservative MPs said Saturday extending Canada's combat assignment in the war-torn country beyond February 2009 will depend on "consensus" in Parliament.

But Liberal Leader Stephane Dion, in Calgary for the Stampede, insisted there won't be majority support to prolong a mission that's already killed 66 Canadian soldiers since 2002 - most of them in the past 18 months.

While Tory MPs maintain the government is completely committed to the Afghan effort, political analysts said the Tories have undoubtedly softened their support for extending the mission beyond February 2009.

Calgary Southeast MP Jason Kenney said Saturday the Conservative government has not made a decision on whether it wants to extend the mission.

"We need the support of Parliament if we were to seek to extend the mission and the government hasn't decided whether or not it wants to do that yet," Kenney said Saturday.

"This current mission will terminate in February 2009, and whether there's an extension depends on whether there's parliamentary consensus."

The flag-draped coffins carrying the bodies of Capt. Matthew Dawe, 27, Cpl. Cole Bartsch, 23, Cpl. Jordan Anderson, 25, Pte. Lane Watkins, 20, Capt. Jefferson Francis, 37, and Master Cpl. Colin Bason, 28, were loaded onto a military aircraft at the Kandahar Airfield on Friday night as hundreds of solemn coalition troops looked on.

Their bodies are scheduled to arrive Sunday at CFB Trenton in Ontario for a repatriation ceremony.

Four other Canadian soldiers were injured early Saturday morning when a suicide bomber struck a coalition convoy, eight kilometres west of Kandahar City.

The injured soldiers were transported by helicopter to the Canadian-led multinational hospital at Kandahar airfield, where two of them were treated and released and two were still undergoing treatment Saturday.

"The injuries sustained by the soldiers are not serious, the soldiers notified their next of kin themselves,"said Maj. Dale MacEachern, a spokesman for the Canadian Forces in Afghanistan.

They were expected to rejoin their unit.

The bomber was killed in the attack.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper, who teamed up with Kenney to flip and serve flapjacks at a Stampede pancake breakfast at a Calgary mall, wouldn't speak to the media.

But Indian Affairs Minister and Calgary MP Jim Prentice, who hosted his own breakfast, echoed Kenney's comments that opposition parties deserve a say in whether to extend the increasingly deadly mission.

"We respect the House of Commons and the other parties will have a point of view on this," Prentice said.

Prentice recognized there is growing public angst as the body count in Afghanistan rises - including the deaths of the six soldiers this past week and the wounding of the others early Saturday - but he hoped the public will continue to support the 2,500 troops in southern Afghanistan for the work they're doing to rebuild the country.

"To be sure, there are many questions to be asked after casualties," Prentice added. "But that discussion will crystallize in 2009."

Still, the Tory government's commitment to prolonging the Afghan mission doesn't appear to be as strong as it was in 2006, when the government survived a 149-145 vote in the House of Commons to extend the mission two more years to next February.

"If we need further efforts or a further mandate to go ahead into the future, we will do so alone and we will go to the Canadian people to get that mandate," Harper said in May 2006, following the vote.

But more questions are raised with every soldier who is killed or wounded in the volatile southern region of Afghanistan. The issue is particularly poignant in Alberta, where a large number of the dead soldiers have been based.

Liberal leader Dion is pressing the federal government to notify NATO and the Afghan government that Canada's combat mission in Kandahar will end in February 2009.

"We have 18 months to work together for a replacement," Dion said Friday.

Calgary Herald
© CanWest News Service 2007

This seems to bear out the thrust of Ruxted's view: Prime Minister Harper is, as politically he probably must, putting political expediency – re-election – ahead of principle and the national interest.

So, RGO just how does he differ from Prime Minister Chrétien?  Isn't that precisely what Chrétien did and isn't that exactly why he did it?
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #20 on: July 08, 2007, 10:20:10 »
ER Campbell,

For starters, here's how he's not at all like Chrétien:

- he has never referred to the CF as a bunch of "Boy Scouts"
- he has not cancelled procurement contracts for badly needed military hardware out of political spite - - recall what Chrétien did with the EH101 deal
- he has actually visited out troops in theatre and shown some long overdue support to Canada's military
- he's not the leader of a pollitically-corrupt party

You and the Ruxted folks can have fun juding the man's leadership on one issue if you like, but I think it's rediculous to compare him to Jean Chrétien.

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2007, 11:29:41 »
... I think it's rediculous to compare him to Jean Chrétien.


But:

... how does he differ from Prime Minister Chrétien?  Isn't that [changing positions, even supposedly firm positions] precisely what Chrétien did and isn't that exactly why [to win (re)lection] he did it?

I'm not arguing the political logic or the relative honesty of the two men.

Ruxted invited the PM to lead, the presumption, I suppose, being that he's stopped leading and started playing politics with Canadian soldiers in action.  I - a card carrying Conservative and a regular contributor to the party - remain firmly on Ruxted's side on this.  The fact that I'm a partisan Conservative does not ,make me some sort of mindless automaton and certainly not a sycophant.
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Offline MCG

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2007, 12:37:00 »
But the public wants us to become, once again, those traditional "Peacekeepers" wearing the baby blue berets with no risk of offending anyone's sensibilities;
I think Ruxted did a good job of addressing that hypocrisy here: http://forums.milnet.ca/forums/index.php/topic,63566.0.html
How could we claim to be "peacekeepers" and the "doers of the right thing" if we are willing to abandon the Afghans?

...  I think he has amongst the most incompetent communications strategies I have seen anywhere ... at any time.
I tend to agree.  I also think that Foreign Affairs is failing in its communications duties.  It should be that minister who is spreading the message to Canadians about why we are there, what we aim to achieve.  There is plenty of communications on how we intend to fight the enemy, but the silence related to reconstruction is deafening.  This silence is not because we are doing nothing.  This silence is not because reconstruction is unimportant (quite the  opposite; reconstruction is the most important).  The silence is because DFAIT has failed in its communication strategy.

... here's how he's not at all like Chrétien:
...
- he has actually visited out troops in theatre and shown some long overdue support to Canada's military
I seem to recall a backward helmet photo that suggests otherwise.  Maybe you are thinking of Mr Martin.

Harper is a leader - - period. He is also smart enough to know that to continue to be a leader in this country he can't ignore the reality of the significant numbers of left-leaning idiot voters who don't understand the military, its purpose, and history. For good or ill that will require a vote on the mission. We do live in a democracy.
There is a difference between simply holding on to the nation's top leadership position & leading while in that position.  A leader would take the time to explain why certain sacrifices should be made, and a leader would show how the same sacrifices are in keeping with Canadian ideals.  Making popular decisions may be part of the equation, but communicating the dynamics of important decisions to the public is just as important.  Where is the communication?

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #23 on: July 08, 2007, 13:22:47 »
Let me preface my comments by stating that, like Edward, I am a member of and a contributor to the Conservative Party of Canada.

Political leadership is not following popular opinion, although one would be hard-pressed to find examples to prove this in recent Canadian history. Perhaps the PM has a strategic goal and plan other than to win the most seats in the next election, if so, his opsec is outstanding. Perhaps his plan is to allow the other leaders to trap themselves in a web of their own weaving. I don't know.
What I do know is that leadership is a visible and personal thing and it depends very much on force of personality.

In May 1940 there was a large segment of the British ruling classes in Cabinet, in Parliament and the civil service who were convinced that the only possible course of action was a negotiated peace. Indeed the Germans were eager to negotiate and discreet overtures were being made by both sides. Winston Churchill overcame this opposition to continuing the war by argument, by bullheadedness amd by sheer force of personality, and the rest, as they say, is history.

While we are not yet in the position the pre-Dunkirk British were in, a peaceful future free from attack is by no means secure. We need leadership so that we may recognize our peril and accept the burden of maintaining our freedom. That leadership is not displayed by reading the polls or playing gotcha politics with the opposition. 

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #24 on: July 09, 2007, 00:55:52 »
All excellent points. One thing noone has mentioned is that the media edits the news we see, reconstruction isn't sexy, smiling Afghans aren't interesting, and making PM Harpers comments into something they really aren't, is an art. So I think they should use their own media center to get their message out, put it on youtube, people will see it.

Something I noticed last year at Klondike Days (CapitalEx) was the most popular site with my 2 boys was the military station. They loved the tanks, and I enjoyed talking to some troops who had been to Afghanistan.

The point I am making is that the military can help get the message out. Most people don't get to talk to a soldier, when they do, it makes a big difference. Face to face is best. Have some training exercises in towns that don't have a base close by, let people see you, it makes you real, it makes the mission real, and it makes those people more connected to that mission.

So, get some people out into malls across Canada, selling those yellow car magnets, connect with the average Canadian,  once they have a face to put to the "troops", once they know the troops support the mission, support will go up! Next time you are thinking of having a practice exercise, take it off base, the more people see you, the more they identify with you, and therefore the mission. Don't hide on base.

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #25 on: July 09, 2007, 01:32:13 »
take it off base, ....................... Don't hide on base.

You mean " soldiers with guns.....in our cities....in Canada" ?

 ;D
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #26 on: July 09, 2007, 01:40:52 »
You mean " soldiers with guns.....in our cities....in Canada" ?

 ;D

Yup, that's exactly what I mean!!  Maybe you can "scare" them into supporting the mission.   ;D

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #27 on: July 12, 2007, 09:13:54 »
Here, reproduced from today’s Globe and Mail under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act, is political insider Norman Spector’s ‘take’ on Harper’s circumlocution on the Afghanistan mission:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070711.wcoafghan12/BNStory/Front/home

My emphasis added.

Quote
An Afghan solution: Redefine the mission

NORMAN SPECTOR
From Thursday's Globe and Mail

July 11, 2007 at 11:30 PM EDT

It's unclear whether Prime Minister Stephen Harper has changed his mind about Afghanistan, but he's certainly shifted his rhetoric. Where once he would play for time by promising to put any extension to a vote, he's now saying he won't ask our troops to carry on absent a parliamentary consensus. Tuesday, for the first time, he even spoke of the need for a “new mission.”

To be sure, Mr. Harper is simply acknowledging what he wrought by giving up the power to take Canada to war with the stroke of the prime ministerial pen – a commendable reform that Britain's new leader, Gordon Brown, proposes to emulate. Still, you have to wonder whether he regrets not having put the onus squarely on the opposition parties last year. When I asked him a few days after the vote why he vowed to prolong the mission for a year if the House of Commons turned down a two-year extension, Mr. Harper said that Canadian troops were doing very hard work and that we owed it to our allies to be in Afghanistan.

Naive? Yes. Principled? That, too. But, to this day, critics lambaste the Prime Minister for having played wedge politics. Pish. Had the opposition killed the mission, Mr. Harper would be sitting atop a majority government.

Instead, with casualties mounting, the Afghan mission is badly tangled in domestic politics, and Mr. Harper's government, too, is bleeding. Still, both the Bloc Québécois and the Liberals have hinted at some willingness to carry on in some fashion, and therein lies an opportunity.

Mr. Harper should begin by giving Canadians the unvarnished truth about the mission's prospects. But his fundamental challenge was best expressed by British Labour MP Aneurin Bevan in a magisterial parliamentary speech at the height of the 1956 Suez crisis: “When a nation makes war upon another nation, it should be quite clear why it does so. It should not keep changing the reasons as time goes on.”

Under Jean Chrétien, it was never made clear why Canadian troops were in Afghanistan – unless it was to make up for their not being in Iraq. Under Paul Martin, the parliamentary debate on the dangerous Kandahar deployment was a one-night affair that went virtually unreported. And Mr. Harper has been shifting his rationale for the mission, while comporting himself more like a backroom boy engaged in spin wars than a wartime prime minister.

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is now staring at the prospect of a humiliating defeat in a United Nations-sanctioned mission. This explains why the Democratic Party leadership supports an increase in U.S. troop strength; our British allies, too, draw a clear distinction with the Iraq war. Indeed, Britain is boosting its forces in Afghanistan by 25 per cent, and a new ambassador is warning that a 30-year commitment will be necessary to rebuild the country.

Still, Canadians are understandably disturbed to see French and Italian soldiers deployed in relatively safe Kabul and Herat. But were we simply to give notice that we wanted out of combat in Kandahar, it would constitute a serious blow to Canada's reputation. To paraphrase former Liberal foreign minister John Manley, we would be seen by the world to be excusing ourselves to go to the washroom, now that the bill has arrived.

It's because of that reputation that we've not been successful in persuading our allies to bear their fair share of the burden, a lacuna the Prime Minister noted Tuesday.
But he might still be able to turn that situation around by stipulating Canada will only agree to stay in Kandahar beyond 2009 if other NATO members agree – in proportion to their capabilities – to match our commitment.

By putting to good use his minority status in Parliament, the Prime Minister has an opportunity to safeguard Canada's reputation. Canadians would then have to hope that, in considering Mr. Harper's proposal, opposition leaders would also keep in mind that, if the Taliban were to return to power, horrific human-rights scenarios could result. And that, if we'd not at least made an offer to continue the tough slogging, Canadians could awake one morning and not be able to look themselves in the mirror.

Spector’s “solution” is, I fear, grasping political straws.  The root of Mr. Harper’s problem is that he, exactly like Chrétien and Martin, is using Afghanistan for local, domestic, partisan political advantage.  He, exactly like Chrétien and Martin, appears disinterested in Canada’s interests in the world – which, in my opinion, include winning what I call the Global war on Barbarism  (So named after Dr Wafa Sultan’s description of the true nature of our struggle with al Qaeda and the Taliban and their fellow travellers.)

Harper needs to tell Canadians: why we went to Afghanistan – and it was to avoid being coerced into going to Iraq, and he needs to tell Canadians why we are fighting in Kandahar – to make development possible, because most of the NGOs, including CARE Canada, are afraid to go there now and will remain so until either we help the ANA and ANP provide adequate security or the Taliban et al win.  Finally Harper needs to ‘sell’ a continued mission in Kandahar, doing the hard fighting, as being in our national best interests – even with casualties.  Thus far he has failed to do any of those thing.

If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person, than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind.
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Offline GAP

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #28 on: July 12, 2007, 09:20:52 »
If Harper did as you suggest, I wonder what the general reaction would be? I think it would be interpreted as straight shooting and his numbers would improve, but conversely it also give ammunition to the others and the MSM to criticize him for what ever, just because they can..
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #29 on: July 12, 2007, 09:52:35 »
If Harper did as you suggest, I wonder what the general reaction would be? I think it would be interpreted as straight shooting and his numbers would improve, but conversely it also give ammunition to the others and the MSM to criticize him for what ever, just because they can..

The MSM are going to criticize him no matter what, because:

1. He is the 'top dog' and they see it as their job to point out 'the rest of the story,' etc;

2. He is avoiding the tough issue(s) as he tries to scratch for a few votes here and few more there; and

3.  His communications strategy is not working - he has managed to enrage the media without finding any other way to communicate with Canadians.  As Ruxted said, "What we have here is a failure to communicate."

I remind readers who think I am too hard on Prime Minister Harper that I am a card carrying Conservative and a regular contributor to the party's war chest.  I want the Conservatives to win the next election but, even more, I want a competent, fiscally responsible, socially moderate and above all principled government.  For the time being, I believe, only the Conservative party can offer us most of that - I'd like to see a bit more principle and leadership.
If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person, than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind.
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Offline Flip

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #30 on: July 12, 2007, 10:13:35 »
I acknowledge that Edward is preaching to the conservative choir in the sense
that His message to conservatives would be different than His message to others.
I agree Harper's the best we've got, but he has to do better.

Everyday there is some new peace initiative.
Everyday the government is afraid to act.

A simple review of the facts is all we really need.

Hunteroffortune has a very real point.  Veterans groups and serving members have a lot to offer to the debate.  I guess I'm asking you guys in green to serve twice in a way.
Someone else should help.

Yes, civvies (like me) are ignorant.
We are un-aware, and conspiracy theories are sooo popular.
Very few Canadians h( in my experience) have the faintest idea what's going on.

Hearing from those who serve makes it real.








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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #31 on: July 12, 2007, 10:34:04 »
I've read through all of this with great interest. Like some have said, Harper is damned if he does, and damned if he doesn't. With a minority he has to tread lightly. No matter what he says publicly, the MSM is going to spin it. If he said we were staying indefinitely, he'd be in trouble, if he said we were pulling out tomorrow, he'd be in trouble. 18 months is a long time - a lot could change, for better or worse. The war could well come to our doorstep. Harper could win a majority, then he'd be in a better position to lead. There are innumerable other scenarios.

I also agree the CF should be more visible. Don't know about taking guns into Canadian cities, though. Remember what happened when Trudeau did - and I happen to think he did the right thing, much as I hated his politics. We had soldiers on the streets of Selkirk MB at the time of the flood, and the whole town fell in love with them. Its good for the civillian population to see our Military in action - and not just at fairs and recruitment drives in malls. Training exercises in towns and cities would scare h**l out of some people, but others would be fascinated.

We (Canadians in general) see ourselves as a kinder, gentler society. All well and good - till some bully points his beady little eye at us and decides he wants what we have, and can easily take it away from us by force.

 :cdn:
Hawk

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #32 on: July 12, 2007, 10:46:14 »
"What we have here is a failure to communicate."

I remind readers who think I am too hard on Prime Minister Harper that I am a card carrying Conservative and a regular contributor to the party's war chest.  I want the Conservatives to win the next election but, even more, I want a competent, fiscally responsible, socially moderate and above all principled government.  For the time being, I believe, only the Conservative party can offer us most of that - I'd like to see a bit more principle and leadership.

I agree 100%
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Offline Greymatters

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #33 on: July 12, 2007, 11:46:36 »
I totally agree that the Foreign Affairs department is responsible for getting information to the public about what we are doing over there.  When faced with I-lost-count-how-many opposition groups, the opposition group message becomes predominant if it isnt opposed. 

But in reality, Foreign Affairs doesnt have that 'us' mentality, its has an 'all about me' mentality.  It doesnt act to make Canada look good, its acts to make themselves look good.  These guys are all supposed experts at dealing with the media whenever there is some high level negotiation going on or when they attend a summit.  But if they arent in the limelight getting the glory, the point is lost on them.  Given Foreign Affairs' past opposition to working with the military on anything, and the trend among Foreign Affairs members worldwide to frequently blame the military for when their efforts fail, its no surprise they have no interest in actively supporting the mission (after all, many of them intend on become leading politicians and academics some day - who wants to be tied to a war scandal?).

Harper on the other hand is also becoming a disappointment and falling under the curse of every leader before him.  Its no longer about whats best for Canada, its about whats best for the Conservative party, and that is 'we want to get re-elected for another term'.  If the mission becomes unpopular (ironically due to lack of government support at the moment) then the government will distance themself from the mission.     

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #34 on: July 13, 2007, 05:40:11 »
It appears that governing by polls and relying upon political consultants were not exclusively Liberal tactics.  Here, reproduced from today’s Globe and Mail under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act, are two stories re: the war on public and political opinion

 http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070713.wafghanpr13/BNStory/National/home
Quote
Change tune on war, PM told

ALAN FREEMAN
From Friday's Globe and Mail

July 13, 2007 at 1:12 AM EDT

OTTAWA — The Harper government has been told to stop referring to “fighting terrorism” and the Sept. 11 attacks, and to banish the phrase “cut and run” from its vocabulary if it is to persuade a skeptical public that the military mission in Afghanistan is worth pursuing.

A public-opinion report says only 40 per cent of respondents across Canada, and almost none in Quebec, support the deployment. To change the perceptions, it recommends putting the emphasis on “rebuilding,” “enhancing the lives of women and children,” and “peacekeeping.”

The report to Foreign Affairs was prepared last month by The Strategic Counsel . It paints a bleak picture of weak public support for the military mission, for which the firm blames “unbalanced, mostly negative” media coverage of the war and misperceptions about the mission's purpose.

Only 40 per cent of Canadians support the mission, according to Strategic Counsel data. And the firm says the public views information from Ottawa “through a thick lens of cynicism.”


“They feel that much of what government says is propaganda, intended simply to appeal to the voting public and to spin stories in a positive manner,” the report points out.

The report is based on 14 focus-group discussions of two hours each, conducted in seven locations across Canada last November.

Canadians of different age groups from rural, urban and suburban regions of the country participated. Strongest support appeared among participants who were 36 and older. In Quebec – focus groups were conducted in Laval and Drummondville – “support was virtually non-existent.”

The report warns that the Afghan mission could be “a lightning rod” for the government. And because of “continuously negative” media reports on casualties and lack of results, the legitimacy of Canada's involvement could be questioned. “Suspicion and cynicism are taking hold in the absence of hard facts and positive stories about progress,” the report states.

“There is a growing belief that the government is trying to avoid talking about the issue to play down the grim reality that the mission is failing.”

The firm said the “communications landscape” is dominated by mounting casualties, and a feeling that “things are getting worse.” Many Canadians believe that the soldiers are part of a U.S.-led mission, and some even think Canada invaded Afghanistan.

Many respondents believe that the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are a U.S.-led response to the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks on New York and Washington.

The report urges the government to promote the fact that Canada has highly professional troops who are “helping the people of Afghanistan” and “getting results even if it's difficult.”

The consultants say the public is divided into soft supporters, wafflers and strong opponents.

The soft supporters often see the mission as one of peacekeeping, and worry that there is no overall plan or clear markers for success.

Most of those consulted were viewed as wafflers, who are “unclear on exactly why Canadians are in Afghanistan, what they are doing and what we can expect to be accomplished.” While they support restoring human rights to Afghans, they are not sure how being in the country can benefit Canadians.

The report said the government needs to give the wafflers more “concrete examples of progress, focusing on the benefits for Afghan women and children.”

The strong opponents were in Quebec and among those between 18 and 35 years old. They believed that conflict is best resolved through peaceful means and that it is an American fight.

These Canadians believe that Afghanistan is “a hopeless cause,” whose economy is dominated by opium and will be reduced to chaos after the Canadians and other NATO forces withdraw. Strategic Counsel said little can be done to change these views, but efforts should be made to “blunt the edges of their opposition.”

The report states that the biggest communications challenge is to change the perception that the mission is a departure from Canada's tradition of peacekeeping. In fact, the authors claim the Afghan mission simply adapts peacekeeping to “the changing nature of global conflict.”

The firm recommends disseminating figures on the number of schools built, jobs created and poppy fields eradicated.

It also says the government should find spokespersons, including prominent Afghan women, the Afghan ambassador to Canada and “key Canadian journalists” committed to in-depth stories, naming The Globe and Mail's Stephanie Nolen and Radio-Canada's Céline Galipeau as examples.

The report did not say how these journalists could be persuaded to take on this role.


So, it appears that the chattering classes have won the battle, if not the war: the NDP is on the side of the angels and the poor, war ravaged, abused Afghans will have to fend for themselves because Canadians are convinced that we  invaded Afghanistan in pursuit of a hopeless cause.

And the solution to the problem of a biased, celebrity obsessed media which has, intentionally, misled the Canadian public: enlist more journalists to ‘sell’ the mission.

And, in support oft my oft expressed fear that Prime Minister Harper’s Afghanistan ‘policy’ is aimed, squarely, at discomfiting the opposition rather than protecting and promoting Canada’s vital interests in the world:


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070713.wafghan-mission13/BNStory/Front
Quote
New Afghan rhetoric a ploy to sway Liberals, defence watchers say

BILL CURRY

Globe and Mail Update
July 13, 2007 at 1:10 AM EDT

OTTAWA — New plans for Canadian troops in Afghanistan are clearly aimed at pressing divided Liberals to support a mission beyond 2009, defence experts say.

Government and military officials are publicizing a change in focus to the mission that would see Afghan civilians move quickly through military training and onto the front lines. Direct combat by Canadian troops would be reduced as they switch to a supporting role for the emerging Afghan army.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper recently used the phrase “new mission” to describe any Canadian activity in Afghanistan beyond Parliament's commitment to February, 2009. His language expanded on previous comments, in which he said any military activity beyond 2009 would occur only with parliamentary consensus.

“I think he is genuinely reaching out to the Liberal Party,” said David Bercuson, director of the Centre for Military and Strategic Studies at the University of Calgary. Dr. Bercuson predicted the Tory argument to the Liberals will be that a leading NATO country like Canada cannot pull out entirely from Afghanistan.

“I also think there are pressures within the military to take the emphasis off what is going on right now because the effort is humongous,” he said. “I don't think the military is unhappy with a change in focus in the mission.”

The executive director of the Conference of Defence Associations offered a similar take on the government's recent comments.

“They won't convince NDP,” Alain Pellerin said. “It's mainly for the Liberals. They're sort of split 50-50 to a large extent and I think there is a desire for a party that aspires to be the government again that they can't very well afford to say ‘We're leaving in 2009 and whether there's a NATO country that replaces or not, we're leaving.' It wouldn't be honest.”

If the Prime Minister was in fact reaching out, the Liberals were not in any mood Thursday to entertain the offer.

Liberal defence critic Denis Coderre said he wants Defence Minister Gordon O'Connor fired and a 2009 exit plan in “black and white on paper” before discussing what might happen after 2009.

“We're saying we're getting out of the combat mission. Find another country,” Mr. Coderre said.

The Liberal MP said he can't trust the Prime Minister's latest comments about an end to the current mission because Mr. Harper previously said he opposed arbitrary deadlines.

NDP Leader Jack Layton said recent comments on the mission by Chief of the Defence Staff General Rick Hillier are confusing. The NDP will continue to insist on an immediate troop withdrawal, Mr. Layton said.

“To have the general musing about new approaches makes you wonder what we have a Minister of Defence for. What does he stand for?” he asked.

“I worry about the confusion that we're hearing here. It's looking a little too much like policy on the fly … and that should concern all Canadians.”

Gen. Hillier gave an interview to a Quebec City newspaper this week as soldiers from CFB Valcartier prepare for their first six-month tour to Kandahar beginning on Sunday.

Training Afghan soldiers to take on front-line combat assignments will be the main focus for Quebec troops, the general told Le Soleil.

However, direct combat will remain a part of the Canadian mission until more Afghan troops can be trained.

“Our priority is to move from a situation in which we lead the combats with the support of the Afghans to one where the Afghans lead the offensives with our support,” he said, estimating 3,000 Afghan soldiers will be in place by August.



If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person, than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #35 on: July 13, 2007, 07:30:22 »
How sad to see our last hope to remain relevent and"in the news",so to speak being fretted away by of all groups the Conservatives who only want to behave like Liberals it would seem with respect to their incessant en devours to lead by polls and perceptions. There hasn,t been leadership in this Country since Mulroney let the Army clear up the Oka mess. Could you imagine any politician in any party now giving the army its marching orders in Oka today ? Of course the army of today would be forced of the roads by days of action, so I  suppose nothing will ever really change. What happened to our sense of stoicism or stubbornness  that we allow the media to so twist and distort the facts we just blissfully glaze ahead in slack jawed stupidity while the rest of the world that wants to matter fights the good fight because its the right thing to do. Australia is all Canada used to be and could still be with leadership and purpose of mission. As the countries who "chose to matter", gather in Passchendal to remember true slaughter of magnitudes Canadians never heard of because of war history being politically incorrect and thus erased from our memory, the most importtent mission facing Canada now is one of information. See you all in Kingston.

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #36 on: July 14, 2007, 22:32:46 »
I found this:
The services come as public support for the mission dwindles. Prime Minister Stephen Harper has also been advised to tone down his language on topics such as "fighting terrorism" and the 9/11 attacks.
The advice is part of a public-opinion report prepared last month by The Strategic Counsel for Foreign Affairs, according to The Globe and Mail.
In order to counteract apparent fading support for the mission, the report recommends emphasizing peacekeeping, rebuilding and Canada's role in helping to improve the lives of women and children.
The report says only 40 per cent of those sampled across Canada actually support the mission in Afghanistan. In Quebec, support for the deployment was at close to zero.
The report blames "unbalances, mostly negative" media coverage and a lack of understanding about the purpose of the deployment, for the low support.
The report also found many Canadians believe Canada is part of a U.S.-led mission, or that Canada invaded Afghanistan


Says it all, doesn't it?  Those who know the whats and the whys know and support the mission.  The ignorant think that we are there on some "Bushite adventure", whatever the hell that is...


Source:  http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20070714/soldier_funerals_070714/20070714?hub=TopStories

(Shared in accordance with the fair dealings thing)

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #37 on: July 14, 2007, 23:13:20 »
Quote
The report also found many Canadians believe Canada is part of a U.S.-led mission, or that Canada invaded Afghanistan. 

Agreed.  This part pretty much sums up the problem....I can also tell you which way the people who are this ignorant vote....

Who wants to guess?


Matthew.    :blotto:
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #38 on: July 15, 2007, 05:44:50 »
There is a more complete report here.
If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person, than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #39 on: July 15, 2007, 07:20:58 »
There is a more complete report here.

Thanks Edward, the two topics are now merged.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #40 on: July 15, 2007, 08:03:26 »
Agreed.  This part pretty much sums up the problem....I can also tell you which way the people who are this ignorant vote....

Who wants to guess?


Matthew.    :blotto:

"A public-opinion report says only 40 per cent of respondents across Canada, and almost none in Quebec, support the deployment.”

So about 60% across Canada oppose the mission and most of Quebec.
And you "can also tell you which way the people who are this ignorant vote...."   Interesting  ::)

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #41 on: July 15, 2007, 08:47:24 »
I’m going to assume, just for the sake of argument, that there was some consistency in the polling.  I’m guessing that “support was virtually non-existent” means, say, 5+% support and 10+% undecided and, therefore 80+% opposed.  That means that in the Rest of Canada we might find something like 55±% support and 40±% opposed and 5% undecided.

In that case, assuming the PMO and the Conservative Party election brain-trust take account of this sort of thing and also assuming the PM’s change of tone is related to this sort of ‘knowledge’ of where Canadians are ‘at,’ then Québec is, once again:

•   Out of step with the national view; and

•   Driving the national policy agenda with its unique point-of-view.

If we look at a bit of electoral data we mightsee something like this:
(Read in four columns: Region,  Tory 2006 results, Campbell’s guesstimate of the potential results of an election to be held soon, Results realistically required for a Tory majority)

National:  124/308  134/308  154/308 
BC:  17/36  19/36  21/36
Alberta:  28/28  28/28  28/28
Prairies:  20/28  20//28  20/28
Ontario:  40/106  45/106  51/106
Québec:  10/75  15/75  27/75
Atlantic Canada:  9/33  7/33  8/33

The Conservatives might gain a handful of seats by ‘coming up the middle’ in some strong, three way, Green/Liberal/NDP battles – especially in BC and Ontario.  They should make a few gains in Ontario’s 905 belt.  They must make substantial gains in either Ontario or Québec if they want a majority – there is no realistic alternative.  I’m guessing they see Ontario as a tougher nut than Québec; thus they will pander to Québecers – even when that makes for very bad national policy.  But there’s a problem: if you pander to Québec  once you must continue, and up the ante, or Québec will abandon you.

It’s an interesting political dilemma.


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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #42 on: July 15, 2007, 09:32:08 »
Well done Edward, very interesting Sunday morning reading.
 I very much like your earlier thread comment that "And, in support oft my oft expressed fear that Prime Minister Harper's Afghanistan ‘policy’ is aimed, squarely, at discomfiting the opposition rather than protecting and promoting Canada’s vital interests in the world: " This is the only way I can make seen of a strategic tough political game player with no military experience or exposure.

But ref your last comment as I look at your numbers they reflect the same old political balance parties always face in Canada to gain a majority. You have to get Ontario or Quebec. Harper's not going to get a majority in Quebec, yes he might up his seat count a bit, so key is getting more seats in Ontario. But  short of a poll confirming it my feeling is Ontario has majority urban opposition to the war and hence the move to gain middle of the road Liberal support. Looks like a smart political move.
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #43 on: July 15, 2007, 15:00:48 »
"A public-opinion report says only 40 per cent of respondents across Canada, and almost none in Quebec, support the deployment.”

So about 60% across Canada oppose the mission and most of Quebec.
And you "can also tell you which way the people who are this ignorant vote...."   Interesting  ::)



I'm going to withhold the initial words that lept to mind and instead just tell you to roll your eyes at somebody else!

Does it not strike you as coincidental that there is approximately 40% support for the Conservatives right now with 60% split between the Liberal Party, the Dippers, the Greens and the Block?

I'm not saying that all Conservatives who currently back the mission are 100% knowledgable about all the facets, but I believe based on my conversations with known conservatives, those that aren't 100% up to speed have cast their dye based on "principle-based intervention".  That is, we're involving ourselves to make a positive difference.

On the other hand, in my conversations with those whom I know are dedicated to other parties (that 60%):
95% couldn't find Aghanistan on a map without labels on it.
90% believe it's George Bush's war (85% will also believe GWB orchestrated 09/11)
95% have no concept of the impact on women and girls & education specifically between NATO intervention & not
95% have no concept of the terrorism training implications if NATO abandons Afghanistan and it reverts to a Waziristan-like terrorist breeding ground.

I should add, in my many conversations with non-conservative voters, when you suddenly introduce the women's education & rights facet of the debate, a majority suddenly have their eye-brows pop-up and the general response is "Gee, I didn't know that."

Bottom Line:  Afghanistan is currently unpopular because it is being branded as a Conservative effort.  Based on it being a Conservative effort, it is blacklisted as being acceptable by ALL on the Left.  All they need to hear is that Harper is for it, and they are automatically against it, and feel no need to actually educate themselves to understand it.  If you applied some sort of knowledge test to voters (or poll participants) about where Afghanistan is, what the issues are, etc. and only allowed those to vote based on passing that test, I think you'd find you that 95% of your 60% that currently oppose the mission would fail.  Furthermore, my father taught me at a young age that not all opinions are equal.  Only when your opinion is based on a solid foundation and you yourself have subjected that opinion to repeated objective criticism and fault-testing is ANY opinion worth the air it is spoken upon.  I should add in addition to the filter that the Left is currently applying to all things "Conservative", the Left in our country has become incredibly lazy.  We live in a country with free access to information, and instead of having any interest in educating themselves on issues like Afghanistan, Taxation, Kyoto, etc., the people who congregate in the Liberal Party, Green Party, and NDP seem more interested in tuning into the latest reality show.  Quite frankly, it's an afront to democracy when eligible voters CHOOSE ignorance because of this laziness.

Now I'm going to show more respect than you showed me by not rolling my eyes at you, but I would like your response....


Matthew.   :salute:
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Offline Baden Guy

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #44 on: July 15, 2007, 16:40:54 »
Hmmmmm....well upon reviewing my comment to your comment I have found .........that .......I .....was .....wrong.
After reading Capt.Sensible's comment I made the mistake of tagging your reply with the 40% in support of the mission.
Whereas all you actually were referring to was "The report also found many Canadians believe Canada is part of a U.S.-led mission, or that Canada invaded Afghanistan."  A fact that you obviously find irritating as do I.

My personal take is that the Afghanistan mission is complex, involving many aspects Taliban, Pakistan, President Musharraf, the Afghanistan people and their cultural history, drug lords, Islam etc etc. This is one reason why I found the recent deaths a source of personal anger as Canadians in general have not taken the time, as you say, to become informed on the many componets affecting this mission.

Sorry about the confusion on my part but that's the risk you take when you try responding to numbers.  Ref your reply, we are probably not both in the same spot on the political spectrum but we most certainly are in our desire for Canadians to step beyond the screaming evening news and take the time to learn the facts behind ISAF's goals in Afghanistan and the enviornment affecting reaching those goals.

 :salute:


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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #45 on: July 15, 2007, 18:16:03 »
As for confusion, a post at The Torch:

Afstan: First get your facts right
http://toyoufromfailinghands.blogspot.com/2007/07/afstan-first-get-your-facts-right.html

Mark
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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #46 on: July 16, 2007, 09:57:16 »
When he stays in his lane (strictly domestic politics) and when he is able to restrain his all to evident distaste for all things Conservative, Lawrence Martin is worth a read. Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act, is his latest from today’s Globe and Mail:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070715.wcomartin16/BNStory/Front/home
I have edited out a few typos the Good Grey Globe let slip by in the on-line edition.
Quote
Can Harper make Canadians feel good?

LAWRENCE MARTIN

Globe and Mail Update
July 15, 2007 at 11:21 PM EDT

The governing Conservatives, looking to get untracked after an uninspired spring, think they're onto something. The plan? Turn their leader, Sergeant Grim, into Kaptain Canada.

Party strategists have been peering into history, going back exactly half a century to the rise of John Diefenbaker.

This was a time (in contrast to the later Dief years, when he descended into his own inferno) when a heady patriotism stirred Canadians. It wasn't the type of nationalism, a more defensive nationalism, that Liberals and New Democrats would later feed off. It was a Canadianism of proud heritage, national symbols, new horizons.

The Conservatives now see an opportunity to tap into such a patriotic vein, to play on classic elements of the Canadian identity – The True North Strong and Free – and bolster their support.

Last week, they were pitching northern sovereignty. Plans for a new deepwater port. Outlays of $3-billionthis is notes for new patrol ships. Not the big icebreakers that were originally planned. But a bigger presence nonetheless.

Not shy about an image as a war guy, the Prime Minister has been building up the military to make the country feel stronger, give it more clout on the world stage.

He has been boasting of Canada's great storehouse of resources. We're “an energy superpower.” He plays frequently on national symbols such as hockey. Recently, in a gesture that Mr. Diefenbaker would surely have appreciated, Stephen Harper even brought the old flag, the Red Ensign, out of the dustbin.

“Canadians are feeling good about their country,” our super patriot leader said in British Columbia last week. No need to worry about that “squabbling” between Ottawa and the provinces. There is “a strong air of optimism.” This summer, he will be spending a good deal of time doing Canadian promo gigs on the international stage. He's presently in Latin America and the Caribbean, where, with stops in Colombia, Chile, Barbados and Haiti, he wants to strengthen economic and political ties. To foster relations on the continent, he will host a three amigos summit with the U.S. and Mexican leaders next month in Montebello, Que. Then it's on to Australia for talks with pan-Pacific leaders, among them his close Conservative buddy, Aussie Prime Minister John Howard.

A foray to the Arctic is also planned. The northern vision was a hallmark of the Diefenbaker campaign that helped him to his crushing majority in 1958. He never did put meat on the bones of his rhetoric, but many Conservatives see these times of warming climate as being right for northern dreams.

Their leader has been criticized as a micromanager, a grouchy control freak who is too dour for the times. Getting out of Ottawa, getting on the world stage with big patriotic themes, while leaving the controversies to ministers at home, could work well for him.

Mr. Harper is no Diefenbaker. The Tory tornado saw himself as personifying the national will. No one could sell Canada like him.

The brandishing of a Canada-first policy is also quite a stretch from the Stephen Harper we've known. This is the one-time regionalist who touted building a firewall around Alberta and who, when asked whether he loved Canada, sidestepped the question. He was seen as more inclined toward a course of continental integration, much more in keeping with the legacy of a Brian Mulroney than a Diefenbaker.

But he is a politician who can readily change his spots, who doesn't seem worried how far he veers from past credos.

He can contrast his new-Canada vision to the vague Liberal look. Last week, the Grits scored points on culture – something missing from Mr. Harper's Canadiana themes – with Stéphane Dion's new policy of support. But the party's biggest boasting point over the past few years, one on which they can embarrass the Conservatives, has been its position on Iraq. For reasons unknown, they barely mention it.

Mr. Harper had run out of an agenda this spring and was looking for something. The country is rolling in bucks and stacked with resource riches. There is cause, even with the difficulties of the small war in Afghanistan, for Canadian optimism.

With a change to his grim-guy approach, the Prime Minister might indeed, as his strategists hope, be on to something. A leader who can make the country feel good is a leader who succeeds.

Many (most?) pundits agree that Prime Minister Harper had a rotten spring thanks to his own failure to have a follow up agenda.

He has done well, very well by and for the military – but that’s not a big vote getter in Canada.  His ‘Arctic sovereignty’ mantra should work because it is, at its base, anti-Americans and a large majority of Canadians respond well to anything anti-American, anything that is which will not cause delays at the border.

As I have said elsewhere we appear to have entered an extended pre-election period. (I say extended because I cannot see why or how the Liberals would be tempted to dump the government any time soon – they’re broke and they need to strengthen Dion’s leadership reputation (those Tory attack ads appear to have worked!) and they’re doing well from Conservative dithering, better than they are doing from their own policy proposals.  I cannot see why the Liberals would want to go to the polls in 2007, at all, and probably not in 2008, either.)  So 19 Oct 09 looks like the date of the next election – it’s more than two years away!  Harper has decided he needs that long to turn voters’ minds away from why they dislike/distrust him and to give them some ‘feel good’ government.

The demise of the Afghanistan mission may be the price he decides he can/must pay to get the (many more) seats he needs in Ontario and, especially, Québec, to secure a parliamentary majority.
If all mankind minus one were of one opinion, and only one person were of the contrary opinion, mankind would be no more justified in silencing that one person, than he, if he had the power, would be justified in silencing mankind.
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Offline GAP

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Re: Lead, Please, Prime Minister
« Reply #47 on: July 16, 2007, 10:39:00 »
Quote
As I have said elsewhere we appear to have entered an extended pre-election period. (I say extended because I cannot see why or how the Liberals would be tempted to dump the government any time soon – they’re broke and they need to strengthen Dion’s leadership reputation (those Tory attack ads appear to have worked!) and they’re doing well from Conservative dithering, better than they are doing from their own policy proposals.

With the setting of predetermined election dates, we should get used to US style electioneering and long, drawn out pre election campaigns. As for Dion, I can't see him coming back with anything at all....especially with Rae, Martha Hall-Findlay and Ignatiff chomping at the bit to replace him. Their optimum choice was that Dion would lose to a new minority Conservative government and the Liberals would have another leadership race, but now it looks like they will have to tough it out until late 2008 (I think that's when another review is due) and dump him them, but dump him they will....he's gone and is going nowhere.
« Last Edit: July 16, 2007, 10:41:35 by GAP »
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